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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

St. Francis NY

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:276.0
Current RPI:276
Expected SOS:335
Current Record:14-17
Expected Record:14-17
Current Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-12
Current OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC RPI:311
Expected OOC SOS:309


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1745.16%276.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Francis NY.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Boston College (250.0)ACCA75-49L0%0.0
11-21Saint Louis (206.0)A10A76-60L0%0.0
11-24Louisville (17.0)ACCA85-41L0%0.0
11-28North Florida (161.0)ASunN65-78L0%0.0
11-29Hartford (292.0)AEA67-74W100%0.0
12-2Lafayette (329.0)PatA62-69W100%0.0
12-6St. John's (246.0)BEA63-56L0%0.0
12-10NJIT (207.0)ASunH86-92L0%0.0
12-14Manhattan (229.0)MAACA71-60L0%0.0
12-20Liberty (264.0)BSthH64-55W100%0.0
12-23Saint Peter's (208.0)MAACA56-45L0%0.0
12-29Albany (107.0)AEH66-71L0%0.0
1-2Fairleigh Dickinson (205.0)NECA86-77L0%0.0
1-4Mount St. Mary's (245.0)NECA44-40L0%0.0
1-7St. Francis PA (266.0)NECH73-56W100%0.0
1-9Robert Morris (291.0)NECH56-49W100%0.0
1-14Bryant (320.0)NECA61-59L0%0.0
1-16Sacred Heart (258.0)NECH85-67W100%0.0
1-21Wagner (185.0)NECH59-83L0%0.0
1-23LIU Brooklyn (254.0)NECA49-64W100%0.0
1-28Wagner (185.0)NECA64-61L0%0.0
1-30Central Connecticut (351.0)NECA49-60W100%0.0
2-4Sacred Heart (258.0)NECA74-70L0%0.0
2-6Fairleigh Dickinson (205.0)NECH85-71W100%0.0
2-11Central Connecticut (351.0)NECH74-67W100%0.0
2-15LIU Brooklyn (254.0)NECH67-82L0%0.0
2-18St. Francis PA (266.0)NECA58-70W100%0.0
2-20Robert Morris (291.0)NECA72-82W100%0.0
2-25Bryant (320.0)NECH79-72W100%0.0
2-27Mount St. Mary's (245.0)NECH55-49W100%0.0
3-2Mount St. Mary's (245.0)NECH51-60L0%0.0